What The Raw Numbers Suggest

The old "you have to be twice as good" adage seems to be true as Obama finds himself running against two Clinton candidates, one actual, one de facto.

The thing that I find reprehensible as I cruise the internet to get a sense of what the mood is in the country is our insatiable need to label everything - red state, southern bloc, women vote, pro-lifers, evangelicals - as if we sprout an ideological single issue third arm during elections with which to cast our ballots.

The great thing about America is its unpredictability - otherwise, I would still be on the back of the bus.

If you look at the raw numbers without the spin that the talking heads put on them, especially on a county by county basis, going all the way back to Iowa, you will realize, the way a football coach who went 7-9 last year often does, that many of the ones that were lost were not lost by any considerable margin.

At this point, the registration of new voters seems to be working to the advantage of the challenger - it seems to be the biggest factor in these results that defy prediction.

Between the furious level of campaigning, the Democratic National Committee's 50 State Strategy to enlarge the electorate that Howard Dean initiated a while back, and the small shifts in demographics over the last four years, I would not be surprised to see a lot of the current conventional wisdom regarding party performance on a state level overturned.
Newsvine Digg It! Stumble Delicious Technorati Tweet It! Facebook

1 comments:

world of warcraft gold said...

Perhaps the mostwow gold for sale popular massive multiplayer Cheap Wow Goldonline role-playing game of ourwow news time is called world of warcraftbuy gold, this game is also wow power levelingreferred to as WOW for World Of Warcraft Goldshort.In order to make things buy cheap world of warcraft goldeasier several players have developed lotro goldwhat are called WOW cheats or hacks, while these buy warhammer gold terms may sound a tad dangerous they're meant to do wow gold only one thing which is to help you cheapest wow goldattain your goals a lot faster and with minimal effort.

Post a Comment

opinions powered by SendLove.to
top